SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Malaysia |
61.74% ( -0.12) | 22.9% ( 0.04) | 15.36% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.02) | 54.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.02) | 75.58% ( 0.02) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.05) | 17.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.09) | 47.38% ( 0.09) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.1) | 47.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.14% ( 0.07) | 82.86% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.73% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.36% |
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