SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaysia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Lebanon |
49.98% ( 0.01) | 26.33% ( -0) | 23.69% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0) | 56.81% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( 0) | 77.74% |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0) | 22.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( 0.01) | 56.52% ( -0) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0) | 39.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% ( -0) | 76.22% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.69% |
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