SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Philippines win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Philippines |
77.96% ( -0.87) | 13.8% ( 0.33) | 8.24% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.43) | 32.04% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.51) | 53.61% ( -0.51) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.39% ( -0.08) | 6.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.44% ( -0.21) | 24.55% ( 0.21) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( 1.62) | 45.6% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% ( 1.25) | 81.41% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Philippines |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.37)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 77.95% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 13.8% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 8.24% |
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