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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
TN

Eswatini
0 - 2
Togo


Msibi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Denkey (14'), Placca (90+2')
Amouzou (56'), Duarte (57'), Romao (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Eswatini 0-1 Togo

Both teams boast the same number of goals scored and conceded from their opening four matches and this weekend's contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about back the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawTogo
37.87% (1.308 1.31) 27.57% (-0.303 -0.3) 34.55% (-1.009 -1.01)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (1.083 1.08)56.69% (-1.086 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.862 0.86)77.65% (-0.866 -0.87)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (1.322 1.32)28.95% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (1.61 1.61)64.83% (-1.613 -1.61)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.102 -0.1)31% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.119 -0.12)67.31% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 37.87%
    Togo 34.55%
    Draw 27.56%
EswatiniDrawTogo
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.213 0.21)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.87%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Eswatini
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Eswatini (10-9 pen.)
Wednesday, July 13 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 2-0 Lesotho
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, July 8 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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