SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Cape Verde |
38.89% ( 0.23) | 29.43% ( -0.06) | 31.68% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.15) | 63.61% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.09% ( 0.1) | 82.91% ( -0.1) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.22) | 31.79% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 0.25) | 68.22% ( -0.25) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.05) | 36.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.05) | 73.43% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.43% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.67% |
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