SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Burkina Faso |
29.49% ( -0.1) | 27.63% ( -0.03) | 42.88% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.06) | 58.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.04) | 78.79% ( -0.05) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.05) | 35.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -0.05) | 72.09% ( 0.05) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.1) | 26.84% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( 0.13) | 62.14% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.87% |
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