SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.17%. A win for Niger had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.94%) and 1-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (13.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tanzania in this match.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Tanzania |
33.81% ( 0) | 31.01% ( 0) | 35.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.85% ( -0.01) | 68.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.97% ( -0.01) | 86.02% ( 0.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0) | 37.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.62% ( -0) | 74.37% ( 0) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.01) | 36.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( -0.01) | 73.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-1 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.74% Total : 33.81% | 0-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 31.01% | 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0)1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.16% |
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