SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | South Korea |
23.31% ( -0.11) | 25.92% ( -0.08) | 50.77% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( 0.2) | 55.64% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% ( 0.16) | 76.79% ( -0.16) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( 0.01) | 39.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( 0.01) | 75.94% ( -0.01) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 0.16) | 21.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( 0.25) | 55.26% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.77% |
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