SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Venezuela |
39.31% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( -0) | 32.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.01% ( 0.01) | 60.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% ( 0.01) | 80.98% ( -0.01) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0.01) | 30.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( 0.01) | 66.37% ( -0.01) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.43% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.02% |
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