SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.15%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
59.86% ( -0.42) | 25.2% ( 0.27) | 14.93% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 37.04% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.59) | 62.44% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.94% ( -0.43) | 82.06% ( 0.43) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( -0.4) | 21% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( -0.64) | 53.77% ( 0.64) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.13) | 53.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.28% ( -0.08) | 86.72% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 17.4% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.86% | 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.93% |
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