SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Mexico |
22.35% ( -0.01) | 25.81% ( -0) | 51.83% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.93% | 56.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -0) | 77.15% |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.01) | 40.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( -0.01) | 77.02% ( 0.01) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.01) | 21.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( 0.01) | 54.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 22.35% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 13.39% 0-2 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-3 @ 5.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.83% |
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