Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
