SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 82.19%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.13%) and 1-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Solomon Islands |
82.19% ( 0.23) | 12.66% ( -0.12) | 5.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 36.6% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% ( 0.09) | 40.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.1) | 62.59% ( -0.1) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.51% ( 0.07) | 7.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.1% ( 0.18) | 26.9% ( -0.18) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.3) | 60.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.13% ( -0.15) | 90.87% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Solomon Islands |
| 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 11.73% 4-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 82.19% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 12.66% | 0-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 5.14% |
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