SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | Solomon Islands |
39.78% ( -0.8) | 26.35% ( 0.44) | 33.87% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -1.76) | 51.92% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -1.54) | 73.67% ( 1.54) |
| Papua New Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -1.21) | 25.63% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -1.68) | 60.52% ( 1.68) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.63) | 29.07% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( -0.79) | 64.99% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | Solomon Islands |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
