SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Cameroon had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cameroon win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Cameroon |
43.76% ( -0.18) | 23.86% ( 0.03) | 32.37% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.08) | 41.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.08) | 63.66% ( 0.08) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.11) | 19.12% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( -0.18) | 50.75% ( 0.18) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( 0.05) | 24.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( 0.07) | 59.43% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Cameroon |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.37% |
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