SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Brazil |
34.01% ( 0.02) | 24.6% ( 0) | 41.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.03) | 44.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( -0.02) | 66.59% ( 0.02) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.01) | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( -0) | 60.03% ( -0) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.03) | 21.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( -0.04) | 54.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Brazil |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.39% |
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