SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Egypt |
45.95% ( -0.04) | 27.47% ( 0) | 26.58% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0) | 58.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( 0) | 79.38% ( -0) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.02) | 25.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.03) | 60.5% ( 0.03) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.03) | 38.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% ( 0.03) | 74.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.58% |
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