SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Chile had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Chile |
54.3% ( 0.05) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 20.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( -0) | 54.59% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( -0) | 75.93% ( 0) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.02) | 20.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( 0.03) | 52.31% ( -0.03) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.04) | 41.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.04) | 77.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.73% |
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