SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.21%).
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Egypt |
| 51.47% | 26.23% | 22.3% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% | 78.37% |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.96% | 56.04% |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% | 41.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.15% | 77.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.19% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.19% Total : 22.3% |
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