Senegal will fancy their chances of overturning their one-goal deficit as they return to home soil where they have been utterly dominant. They are unbeaten in all but one of their eight home games since 2019, claiming an impressive seven wins in that time. While going up against a Salah-led Egypt side is a tricky task for any side, we are backing Senegal to come out victorious on Tuesday and claim an aggregate victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.21%).