Egypt will head into the game desperate to get one over Cisse's men, having lost each of the last three meetings between the sides, including the slender defeat in January's AFCON final. While they will have the home advantage, Senegal boast a plethora of world-class talents in their arsenal. We predict the game will end even, leaving all to play for in the return leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 40%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Egypt win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
