While Ethiopia will be looking to snap their winless run and get their qualification campaign up and running, next up is the challenge of facing a rampant Egypt side who have won seven of their last eight games. Given the gulf in class and quality between the sides, we are tipping Egypt to cruise to all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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