SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Finland |
53.22% ( -0.16) | 25.4% ( -0) | 21.39% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( 0.17) | 55.5% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( 0.14) | 76.68% ( -0.14) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0) | 20.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( 0.01) | 53.58% ( -0.01) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( 0.27) | 41.05% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( 0.24) | 77.6% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.39% |
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