SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Sweden |
47.86% ( -0.06) | 22.92% ( 0.01) | 29.22% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.67% | 38.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0) | 60.61% ( 0.01) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.02) | 16.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.04) | 45.95% ( 0.05) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.04) | 25.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.05) | 60.13% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Sweden |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.22% |
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