SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Slovenia |
46.16% ( 0.2) | 23.95% ( 0.04) | 29.89% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.31) | 42.8% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.31) | 65.2% ( 0.32) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.04) | 18.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.88% ( -0.07) | 50.12% ( 0.08) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.31) | 27.14% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.41) | 62.54% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Slovenia |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 29.89% |
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