SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Sweden |
54.15% ( 0.07) | 23.85% ( -0.08) | 21.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.36) | 48.87% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.33) | 70.96% ( -0.33) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0.16) | 17.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.21% ( 0.28) | 48.78% ( -0.28) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( 0.22) | 36.69% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.51% ( 0.22) | 73.48% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Sweden |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.99% |
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