SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Algeria |
41.07% ( 0.07) | 26.99% ( -0.01) | 31.94% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% ( 0.03) | 54.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( 0.02) | 76.23% ( -0.02) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.05) | 26.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.06) | 61.47% ( -0.06) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.03) | 31.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( -0.03) | 68.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.94% |
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