SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for United Arab Emirates in this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Lebanon |
44.76% ( -0.01) | 29.05% ( -0.05) | 26.18% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.72% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.78% ( 0.16) | 64.22% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.66% ( 0.11) | 83.34% ( -0.11) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.07) | 28.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.09) | 64.57% ( -0.09) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0.14) | 41.46% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% ( 0.12) | 77.96% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 14.85% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.18% |
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