SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Argentina |
23.19% ( -0.04) | 24.33% ( 0.01) | 52.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.08) | 49.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( -0.07) | 71.6% ( 0.07) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( -0.08) | 35.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( -0.08) | 72.73% ( 0.08) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.02) | 18.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.68% ( -0.04) | 50.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.19% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.47% |
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