Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
Result | ||
United Arab Emirates | Draw | Venezuela |
59.66% ( 0) | 21.61% ( 0.01) | 18.72% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% ( -0.07) | 43.57% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% ( -0.07) | 65.96% ( 0.06) |
United Arab Emirates Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.02) | 14.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% ( -0.04) | 41.95% ( 0.04) |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.06) | 37.01% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( -0.06) | 73.8% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
United Arab Emirates | Draw | Venezuela |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.65% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.72% |
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