SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
42.72% ( 0.03) | 26.97% ( -0.01) | 30.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.04) | 55.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( 0.03) | 76.59% ( -0.03) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.03) | 25.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( 0.05) | 60.57% ( -0.04) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.01) | 33.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( 0.01) | 69.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.3% |
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