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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
CN

USA
2 - 2
Canada

USA win 3-2 on penalties
Vazquez (88'), Kennedy (114' og.)
Cowell (96'), Miazga (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Vitoria (90+3' pen.), Shaffelburg (109')
Cavallini (42'), McGraw (56'), Miller (57'), Osorio (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 6-0 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We say: USA 3-0 Canada

The Americans had no trouble getting through to the quarter-finals and have shown they are a force to be reckoned with, while possessing tons of attacking depth, perhaps more than anyone at the 2023 Gold Cup. Not only has it been forever since the Canucks have beaten the Yanks in the US, but this team, in general, look uncomfortable, have shown little cohesion and have been shaky at the back, none of which are encouraging signs heading into an elimination clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Canada had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (11.67%).

Result
USADrawCanada
41.92%30.43%27.65%
Both teams to score 39.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38%67.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32%85.68%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94%32.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47%68.53%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85%42.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Score Analysis
    USA 41.92%
    Canada 27.64%
    Draw 30.43%
USADrawCanada
1-0 @ 15.37%
2-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.55%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.92%
0-0 @ 13.51%
1-1 @ 13.28%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.43%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 27.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 6-0 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-6 USA
Thursday, June 29 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 25 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Mexico
Friday, June 16 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 1-1 Mexico
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Canada
Sunday, July 2 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-2 Canada
Friday, June 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League


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