Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
USA | Draw | Mexico |
36.37% (![]() | 27.87% (![]() | 35.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.24% (![]() | 57.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.5% (![]() | 78.5% (![]() |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% (![]() | 30.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% (![]() | 66.58% (![]() |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% (![]() | 30.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% (![]() | 67.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
USA | Draw | Mexico |
1-0 @ 11.13% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 13.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: