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UN
Friendlies 1
Apr 20, 2023 at 3am UK
Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
MN

USA
1 - 1
Mexico

Ferreira (81')
Sonora (69'), Zimmerman (89'), Acosta (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uriel (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51
All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Jamaica
Monday, March 27 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 1-0 Mexico

There are some big games this summer for these teams, but given their rivalry, we still expect a tight, heated encounter for this midweek clash. We may not see the best American players on the field or the bench for this match, but they have a little more international experience than those who will feature for El Tri, and that along with the psychological edge they have on them at the moment could make the difference in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
USADrawMexico
36.37% (1.55 1.55) 27.87% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 35.76% (-1.572 -1.57)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)57.76% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)78.5% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.95899999999999 0.96)30.39% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (1.127 1.13)66.58% (-1.125 -1.13)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.996 -1)30.77% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-1.191 -1.19)67.04% (1.194 1.19)
Score Analysis
    USA 36.36%
    Mexico 35.76%
    Draw 27.86%
USADrawMexico
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.353 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.36%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.02% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-0 Colombia
Sunday, January 29 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Serbia
Thursday, January 26 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 3-1 USA
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Iran 0-1 USA
Tuesday, November 29 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Jamaica
Monday, March 27 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 0-2 Mexico
Friday, March 24 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies


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