SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 4.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.36%) and 0-3 (13.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.75%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | USA |
4.82% ( -0.16) | 16.12% ( -0.03) | 79.06% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 25.11% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.47) | 56.02% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( -0.38) | 77.11% ( 0.38) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.82) | 71.39% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.55% ( -0.28) | 95.45% ( 0.28) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.08) | 12.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.02% ( -0.17) | 37.98% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.83% Total : 4.82% | 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.09% Total : 16.12% | 0-2 @ 19.27% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 18.36% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 13.48% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)0-6 @ 1.04% ( -0)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 79.04% |
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