SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Uzbekistan |
48.81% ( -0.03) | 25.92% ( -0) | 25.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.03) | 54.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.02) | 75.53% ( -0.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0) | 22.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( -0.01) | 55.6% ( 0.01) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 0.05) | 36.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( 0.05) | 73.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.27% |
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