Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result | ||
USA | Draw | Uzbekistan |
48.81% (![]() | 25.92% (![]() | 25.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% (![]() | 54.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% (![]() | 75.53% (![]() |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% (![]() | 22.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.4% (![]() | 55.6% (![]() |
Uzbekistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.4% (![]() | 36.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% (![]() | 73.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
USA | Draw | Uzbekistan |
1-0 @ 12.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.27% |
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