Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
