SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for India had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | India |
47.74% ( -0.28) | 27.76% ( 0.04) | 24.5% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.66% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.9% ( 0.04) | 61.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% ( 0.03) | 81.07% ( -0.03) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.11) | 25.74% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( -0.16) | 60.68% ( 0.16) |
| India Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.8% ( 0.25) | 41.2% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.27% ( 0.22) | 77.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | India |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 24.5% |
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