SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for India had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | India |
52.97% ( 0.93) | 24.88% ( -0.23) | 22.14% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( 0.21) | 52.81% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( 0.18) | 74.44% ( -0.18) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0.46) | 19.91% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.95% ( 0.73) | 52.05% ( -0.74) |
| India Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.56) | 38.77% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( -0.54) | 75.5% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | India |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.14% |
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