SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
56.96% ( 0.16) | 23.49% ( -0.08) | 19.55% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( 0.22) | 50.31% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( 0.2) | 72.25% ( -0.2) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0.14) | 17.45% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( 0.24) | 47.91% ( -0.24) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.04) | 40.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( 0.04) | 76.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.55% |
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