SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Morocco |
41.28% ( -0.84) | 27.13% ( 0.23) | 31.59% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.72) | 55.59% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( -0.6) | 76.75% ( 0.59) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.78) | 26.51% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( -1.04) | 61.7% ( 1.03) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.05) | 32.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( 0.06) | 68.97% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.59% |
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