SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Zimbabwe |
38.36% ( -0.03) | 30.26% ( 0.01) | 31.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.01) | 66.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.29% ( -0.01) | 84.71% ( 0.01) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -0.03) | 33.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( -0.03) | 70.1% ( 0.03) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.01) | 38.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% ( 0.01) | 75.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.25% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.63% Total : 31.39% |
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