Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
42.22% ( -0.08)	27.96% ( 0.03)	29.82% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.83% (

-0.08)

59.17% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

-0.06)

79.6% (

0.06)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.08)

27.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.1)

63.23% (

0.11)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.37% (

35.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6%

72.4% (

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 42.22%

Kashiwa Reysol 29.81%

Draw 27.96%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.81%