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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 at 6am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Reysol

Lukian (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shiihashi (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawKashiwa Reysol
42.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 27.96% (0.029 0.03) 29.82% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)59.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (-0.058 -0.06)79.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)27.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.105 -0.1)63.23% (0.11 0.11)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.0020000000000095 0)35.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6%72.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 42.22%
    Kashiwa Reysol 29.81%
    Draw 27.96%
Avispa FukuokaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Reysol
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Reysol
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 8 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 Reysol
Saturday, October 1 at 8am in J1 League


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