Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
31.49% ( 0.16)	28.78% ( 0.07)	39.73% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.49% (

-0.19)

61.51% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.63% (

-0.14)

81.37% (

0.14)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

0.02)

35.63% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

0.02)

72.4% (

-0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

-0.23)

30.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

-0.28)

66.38% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 31.49%

Cerezo Osaka 39.72%

Draw 28.76%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 31.49%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 39.72%