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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 19, 2023 at 5am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Yamagishi (90+6', 90+9')
Grolli (44'), Nara (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Onose (73')
Oiwa (42'), Abe (60')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawShonan Bellmare
35.99% (0.367 0.37) 29.28% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 34.72% (-0.42 -0.42)
Both teams to score 44.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.21% (-0.188 -0.19)62.79% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.69% (-0.137 -0.14)82.31% (0.136 0.14)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (0.142 0.14)33.19% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (0.156 0.16)69.8% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)34.03% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.415 -0.41)70.72% (0.41499999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 35.98%
    Shonan Bellmare 34.72%
    Draw 29.27%
Avispa FukuokaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.27%
0-1 @ 12.17% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Reysol
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 4 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 Yokohama FC
Friday, February 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-5 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League


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