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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 18, 2024 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Nogami (15'), Nagai (44'), Kikuchi (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Akiyama (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
32.99% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.39% (0.0029999999999966 0) 39.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.24% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (-0.012 -0.01)77.28% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)31.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)68.25% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 32.99%
    Albirex Niigata 39.62%
    Draw 27.38%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 17 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Monday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League


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