J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
43.32% ( -0.1) | 24.24% ( 0.15) | 32.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.56) |
| 56.98% ( -0.72) | 43.02% ( 0.72) |
| 34.57% ( -0.72) | 65.42% ( 0.72) |
| 79.97% ( -0.34) | 20.03% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.76% ( -0.55) | 52.23% ( 0.55) |
| 74.35% ( -0.38) | 25.64% ( 0.38) |
