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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
43.19% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( 0.01) | 32.68% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.04) | 42.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.04) | 64.78% ( 0.05) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -0.05) | 19.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.1% ( -0.09) | 51.9% ( 0.09) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.02) | 59.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.68% |
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