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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 3, 2021 at 11am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Santos (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sakai (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
50.6%28.35%21.05%
Both teams to score 38.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.7%65.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9%84.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58%61.42%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.86%47.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.41%82.59%
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.58%
    Sagan Tosu 21.05%
    Draw 28.34%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 16.55%
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 3.7%
4-0 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 12.39%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 21.05%

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