Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
42.59%	27.34%	30.07%

Both teams to score 48.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.15%

56.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.22%

77.77%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.55%

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79%

34.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1%

70.89%

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 42.58%

Jubilo Iwata 30.07%

Draw 27.34%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.07%