Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.