Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.